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Illegal immigration is down, so why do we keep talking like it isn’t?

Photo by The Pope/Flickr (Creative Commons)

A new stretch of border fence, February 2009

A new Gallup poll shows that nearly two out of every three Americans is “dissatisfied with the level of immigration into the country,” and that 42 percent want it to decrease. And yet it already has.

The poll results come a little more than a month after Homeland Security officials announced that the arrests of undocumented immigrants caught crossing the U.S.-Mexico border illegally have dipped to a historic low, a level not seen since the early 1970s.

And while the stats recorded by the U.S. Border Patrol aren’t perfect, combined with other research, they point to illegal immigration now being down to a mere trickle. In 2000, the agency apprehended 1.6 million people at the border; only 327,577 were caught in fiscal year 2011.

So what gives? The Gallup poll, the results of which were released yesterday, doesn’t distinguish between legal and illegal immigration, but chances are it’s the latter that respondents continue to be upset about. From the poll results:

Further, 53% in June 2011 said it was extremely important that the government take steps to halt the flow of illegal immigrants into the U.S.

The poll results show a slight decline in Americans’ dissatisfaction with immigration levels in recent years, but the numbers still indicate a different reality. While the results don’t delve into what might be happening, here’s a good hint from the report of one possibility:

…immigration could become an election issue, because the majority of Republicans and conservatives are dissatisfied and in favor of less immigration. Most independents and Democrats are dissatisfied with the level of immigration and generally tilt toward decreased immigration.

Illegal immigration to the U.S. has been on the wane for years now, the product of hard economic times in the U.S. and tighter enforcement. Yet one might not know it from the ongoing talk of illegal immigration as the 2012 presidential race moves forward, along with ample press coverage of what GOP candidates have had to say about it. Could this be clouding the news from the border? Herman Cain’s electrified border fence crack aside, here’s what front-runner Mitt Romney said this week during the candidates’ debate in South Carolina:

“But to protect our legal immigration system, we have got to protect our borders and stop the flood of illegal immigration,” Romney said.

James Rosen described the phenomenon this way recently in the Miami Herald:

When it comes to illegal immigration, Republican presidential candidates are talking like it’s 1999.

Listening to the GOP White House aspirants, voters might not know that the number of illegal immigrants in the United States is down, attempted border crossings are at a 40-year low and President Barack Obama has deported undocumented workers at twice the rate as his predecessor.

In an election year, even with the economy in a shambles, there’s nothing new about candidates focusing on illegal immigration as a campaign issue, something that can work for or against them depending on whose votes they need. But it’s interesting to see this tradition continuing to the extent it is at a time when the news is pointing in a different direction.

Which message reaching U.S. voters is louder?

Report: If they could, some U.S. Latinos would rather live elsewhere

Source: Gallup

The results of a Gallup study released yesterday show that if some of the nation’s Latinos could live elsewhere, they would. Based on a telephone survey of 1,000 Latino adults, the new study shows that more than one in seven, or an estimated 4 million, would leave the United States if they could.

According to Gallup, 52 percent said they would prefer to live in a Latin American country if it were possible, including nearly a third who indicated Mexico. Others would like to be in Canada, Spain, the United Kingdom and other nations outside of Latin America.

Those who would rather live elsewhere are more likely to be foreign-born and struggling with finances, language and culture, according to the study. The results reflect how while the United States may be a land of opportunity, life here is not without its struggles, especially for many newcomers. From the report:

U.S. Hispanics who would like to migrate are caught between two worlds. Gallup’s data show they are less integrated than those who don’t want to migrate — they’re more likely to feel good only among other Hispanics, feel more discriminated against, and are less likely to speak English well. They not only experience more cultural tension, but also seem to be doing worse off economically, particularly with regard to their ability to afford healthcare for themselves and their families.

Further, U.S. Hispanics who would like to migrate are more likely to say they have sent remittances back home in the past 12 months and are less optimistic about the future possibility of increasing or maintaining the amount of these remittances.

The complete results of the study can be read here.